Could the new stadium be the bane of the football team? What impact the move to a new arena can have on betting on this team, we will look at the example of the clubs in the English Premier League (Premier League).
Tottenham Hotspur are the second Premier League team to move to a new arena in the last decade, although many have done so before and a number of clubs have plans to do so in the future. Much like when a person moves to a new city, the problem is that it can take players some time to get familiar with the new environment and keep the same level of play.
Before Tottenham, West Ham was the previous Premier League club that changed its registration. The move to London Olympic Stadium in 2016 marked the end of a 112-year stint at the Boleyn Ground. But do these new arenas have a positive impact on the results, or, on the contrary, are the teams sacrificing home field advantage for a certain period? Let’s look at examples of other clubs that have spent several seasons after moving.
Memorable for its great season (the club remained unbeaten throughout the 2003/04 Premier League season), Arsenal and their fans have regularly been ridiculed for their lack of success since then. On closer inspection, the move to the new stadium may have had a bigger impact than many expect.
In the years following their famous title campaign, Arsenal took second and fourth places before moving to their new 60,000-seat stadium. Since their home games at the Emirates, the Gunners have finished no better each season than in third place, and only won the FA Cup in 2014.
A runner-up in 2015/16 indicated some recovery in results, but a year later, fifth place and a failure in the Champions League qualification for the first time in 20 years underlines how much of a top-tier Arsenal team that played at Highbury has turned into a team whose chances of winning the Premier League before the start of the next season are estimated only at 12:00.
The meteoric rise of the Welsh club began back in 2003/04. As they moved up the leagues in English football, the Swans moved from Vic to Liberty Stadium in 2005.
After improving their position in League 2 in the previous two seasons, Swansea were able to advance to League 1 a year before moving to their new stadium. Two years of consistent climb resulted in a Ligue 1 victory in the 2007/08 season; in the Championship, the club finished its first two seasons, which is undoubtedly an excellent result for a debutant.
Swansea entered the Premier League for the first time in their history after winning the Championship in 2010/11. Is it possible that the new stadium was one of the main factors behind such a meteoric rise from Ligue 2 to the Premier League?
Although Manchester City moved from Maine Road to Etihad Stadium in 2003, this is by no means the biggest milestone in the club’s recent history. While the move may have had an impact on their results, the purchase of the team by Sheikh Mansour in 2008 and the £ 900 million spent on player transfers make analyzing any other potential impact challenging.
The first season in their new arena showed that Manchester City narrowly escaped relegation from 16th place in the Premier League (they finished in ninth place a year earlier ). However, after being at the bottom of the league table, the takeover of the team by the new owner’s structures was complete and a big change took place in terms of management and team results.
In just one season, the huge investment at Manchester City began to pay off after finishing fifth in 2009/10. Finishing in third in 2010/11 was followed by the club’s first league title since 1968, thanks to a dramatic denouement in the final round of the season. This was followed by a silver medal in 2012/13 and a new championship in 2013/14.
Since then, the club has won gold medals twice and once the FA Cup, becoming one of the favorites of the championship race before the start of each season of the Premier League.
Since moving from Bootferry Park to KC in 2002, Hull City has moved up to the tier five times and made the return trip three times in thirteen seasons. Although they managed to reach the Premier League for the first time in their history in 2008/09, staying there proved to be a daunting task.
After relegation in 2009/10, the Tigers were able to finish twice in the middle of the Championship standings before earning a new promotion to elite status in 2012/13. Having escaped relegation in 2013/14, they were sent down again in 2014/15, returned to the Premier League in 2015/16, and slipped back down in 2016/17.
Hull City’s new stadium was certainly part of a big change at the club that has been part of the team’s success. The club is now playing in the Premier League again, and its fans expect their favorites to be among the best English teams for as long as possible.
Thanks to the beautiful tale of the underdog who unexpectedly became Premier League champion in 2016, football fans around the world know who Leicester City is. However, few people suspect about the fifteen years that led to such an incredible achievement.
Moving from Philbert Street to King Power Stadium in 2002 seemed like an ideal start for the team when the Foxes secured a ticket to the Premier League in 2002/03. But a year later they were sent back to the Championship, and a steady drop in results led to the fact that in 2008/09 they were sent to League 1.
The path to the championship began with three consecutive finishes at the top of the Championship standings and multimillion-dollar infusions from the new owners in 2010. The investment paid dividends when Leicester won the Championship in 2013/14 and, of course, the Premier League just two seasons later.
The Leicester title has become one of the biggest success stories in football history. The subsequent regression of the team to the status of an average peasant was generally expected, but this season the team is again among the leaders, however, it does not pretend to be a champion. Maybe it was the change of the stadium that caused the fairy tale of the “foxes”? Or has the takeover by Thai investors played a much larger role in their success?
Although Southampton are considered one of the most stable Premier League clubs after finishing at least 17th place since their first Premier League season in 2012/13, the team have come a long way to reach the heights of English football. Looking at their performances since moving from Dell to St Mary’s in 2001, this change has had a major impact on the team’s performance.
Within two years of the move, the Saints were relegated to the second level of English football for the first time since 1978/79. Less than four years later, they underwent a second demotion and ended up in League 1.
By 2010/11, the influx of funds helped the club, and it earned both a promotion to the Championship thanks to a second place in Ligue 1, and before the Premier League a year later. Southampton’s recent campaigns have been stable, and the Saints are not one of the contenders for relegation from the Premier League, judging by betting offers at BC Pinnacle.
Something to think about
This is obviously a small sample of teams, but it still provides some interesting points to think about. Some teams have thrived on the move to a new stadium, while others have spent years rebuilding. One thing is for sure: the new registration has an impact on the football team, sometimes good, sometimes bad.
Several factors could contribute to this apparent impact on results. The new location means that the pitch and its size will be different for the players, changing rooms and facilities will be different, and of course the atmosphere will not be the same as in their previous stadium.
In addition to everything players have to deal with, the costs of developing a new stadium can affect budgetary allocations and the potential for improving the team’s performance through transfers.
One of the central factors in home field advantage is that a group of players perform better in a familiar environment. These players get some advantage in individual performance and thus the team as a whole performs better. Of course, when a football team moves to a new stadium, it will take some time for the players to become familiar with the new environment.
In addition to radical changes in new facilities, such as changing rooms, teams must also adapt to the new turf, new pre-match environment and, depending on location, various new departure routes. While the new stadium could provide more modern amenities, making it easier for players to “grind” players into the new environment, some Southampton, Leicester and Arsenal players are known to have initially fought against the move.
The Premier League regulations state that the field must be 90-120 m long and 45.5-90 m wide. Arsenal’s move from Highbury (100 mx 67 m) to Emirates (105 mx 68 m) is similar to West Ham’s move from Upton Park (100 mx 64 m) to London Olympic Stadium (105 m x 68 m). In fact, every team mentioned above has increased the size of their field after changing their registration.
The increased size may allow coaches to implement a more expansive playstyle, but it may take some time for their players to get used to the new demands, which in turn will have a negative impact on the results at the same time.
Leicester City fans caused a minor quake as they celebrated the 2015/16 Premier League winning goal. So more fan noise means better team performance, but is that really the case?
Numerous studies in this area suggest that fans are not the only ones who improve a team’s performance. Sources claim that going to their stadium for a pre-match warm-up causes the players to increase their testosterone levels (and this happens even before the fans arrive in the stands), which may refer to a sense of primitive territoriality.
More fans and louder noise levels may not directly affect a team that has recently relocated to a new stadium, but they may still contribute to more favor from match officials, which will ultimately benefit the home side.
The influence of the crowd on the penalty judge is critical in the game of football. Since the 1992/93 Premier League season, 1,214 pitches have been assigned to the home team and only 722 to the away team (over 84% of this total have been scored). The question is, does the number of fans affect the referee or the level of atmosphere they create?
A new stadium can be an incredibly expensive investment for a football team. While Arsenal have received funding and a new arena from Arab sponsors, Manchester City, Swansea and West Ham have benefited from government-funded projects. Making financial adjustments to cover the £ 390 million cost of building a new stadium is one of the main factors that could affect Arsenal’s performance in recent years, and as Tottenham are also self-financing their stadium, the club could similar difficulties arise.
While stadium naming rights and increased ticket sales can help cushion the financial blow, clubs more often than not have to curb their appetites in the transfer market to balance the balance sheet. This could hinder the team’s progress and ability to compete in the Premier League.
The comparison of costs in the transfer market between Arsenal and its main competitors since the move to the new arena highlights one of the reasons why they have not been able to repeat their previous successes. The Gunners have been able to spend only £ 481.05 million on transfers since 2006, while Manchester City £ 1.32 billion, Chelsea £ 909 million, Manchester United £ 885.74 million and Liverpool £ 717.5 million.
This may be why we see teams like Manchester City, Leicester, Swansea and Hull benefitting from their new stadiums as they don’t have to deal with financial constraints. Conversely, Arsenal and Southampton suffered from relocation before starting to gradually recover, including financially.
Minimum rentals at the state-funded stadium meant Swansea could continue to advance in the Championship before winning a ticket to the Premier League. In addition, Manchester City’s success depended largely on their new owner and the huge financial investment that came with him.
It is worth noting that Tottenham Hotspur have a tough transfer policy, and if the construction of their new stadium makes budgetary constraints even tighter, they may lose ground among other elite Premier League teams.
Is it worth building a new stadium?
There are many factors that can affect the performance of a football team after a change of registration. While lapping and unfamiliar ambience can be major contributors to the diminishing advantage of the home field, the financial implications of the move must also be considered. Football teams are undoubtedly aware of these factors, but they generally feel that changing stadiums is worth it (otherwise they wouldn’t have gone through it all).
Although our data is from a small sample size, the observations made here are consistent with the analysis of the performances of more than 30 teams that have changed residence in English football over the past 25 years.